Why does the National Weather Service use over 100 colors for their weather hazards map? ( Good question! In particular, probability-based forecasts have been known to lead to confusion.

Using a 40% probability of rain as an example, it does not mean (1) that 40% of the area will be covered by precipitation at given time in the given forecast area or (2) that you will be seeing ...

In meteorology we refer to the chance for rain or snow as POPS, or probability of precipitation. Let's say tonight's forecast calls for a 50 percent chance of rain. IT DOES NOT MEAN ...

Since writing the column two weeks ago raising the probability of South Africa becoming a Failed State to 25%, many people have asked me what it means and what they should do about it. Should I make ...

PHOENIX — When looking at rain chances in the forecast, you likely think it’s the probability that it will rain sometime during that forecast timeframe. If there’s a 30% chance that it will ...

Just what does that percentage mean when it’s on forecasts ... The Met Office have gone into further detail on their website, explaining the probability of rain when viewed in a percentage form.

Probability of Precipitation: What does 40% chance of rain actually mean? By Kyle Kiel. Published: Aug. 15, 2023 at 2:38 PM CDT ... that is only part of the puzzle for probability of precipitation.