Business Insider reader Jim Laird created this animated chart ... yield on a three-month Treasury. The yield curve is a line that plots a set of forward-looking interest rates at a given point in ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve officially exited its prolonged ... term ones because of the increased risk and uncertainty ...

The yield curve can predict changes in economic output and growth over time. Comparing bonds of different maturities helps ...

Now, to the charts, starting, as usual, with the yield curve. This is the difference ("spread") between what it costs the US government to borrow money over ten years and what it costs over two.

The first is very short term and due to be bought back by the government in two years' time. In other words ... you'd have an upward sloping yield curve (see chart right). Don't miss the latest ...

Note in this chart that, for over forty years, the recessions come after the 3Mo/10Yr yield curve has resolved so ... increasing US debt levels over time, will "... result in bond yields ...

Short-term interest rates are over 5% currently and could ... High short-term interest rates could mean that the yield curve remains inverted for some time. If that happens, then the recession ...

The Treasury yield premium model by Jens H.E. Christensen and Glenn D. Rudebusch (CR) decomposes the nominal yield curve into three components ... Treasury yield into the average expected short rate ...

It is based on the average monthly decline in the unemployment rate over the ... by this chart, the RTSR has been an excellent real-time recession indicator. When both the yield curve inverts ...

Given the somewhat unpredictable time lag between when an inverted yield curve emerges and when a recession ... improve in their respective industries over the next six months.